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	<title>Comments on: Rebuttal to GSE Worthless Analysis</title>
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	<link>http://gatorcapitalblog.com/126/rebuttal-to-gse-worthless-analysis/</link>
	<description>Blog of Gator Capital Management</description>
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		<title>By: Derek</title>
		<link>http://gatorcapitalblog.com/126/rebuttal-to-gse-worthless-analysis/comment-page-1/#comment-499</link>
		<dc:creator>Derek</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Oct 2009 13:15:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://derekpilecki.com/?p=126#comment-499</guid>
		<description>My friend John Hempton from Bronte Capital wrote another rebuttal of KBW&#039;s piece.  His analysis is here:

http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/new-gse-as-zero-meme-laying-assumptions.html

He adds 2 additional points that I did not include in my analysis:
1. KBW double counts credit losses in their model.  This is worth $6 billion to each company over the 10 year model.
2. KBW gives GSEs no credit for the rebound in prices for their non-agency holdings.


He also makes an interesting point that the low end of the housing market is clearing out inventory faster than expected.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>My friend John Hempton from Bronte Capital wrote another rebuttal of KBW&#8217;s piece.  His analysis is here:</p>
<p><a href="http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/new-gse-as-zero-meme-laying-assumptions.html" rel="nofollow">http://brontecapital.blogspot.com/2009/10/new-gse-as-zero-meme-laying-assumptions.html</a></p>
<p>He adds 2 additional points that I did not include in my analysis:<br />
1. KBW double counts credit losses in their model.  This is worth $6 billion to each company over the 10 year model.<br />
2. KBW gives GSEs no credit for the rebound in prices for their non-agency holdings.</p>
<p>He also makes an interesting point that the low end of the housing market is clearing out inventory faster than expected.</p>
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		<title>By: PlanMaestro</title>
		<link>http://gatorcapitalblog.com/126/rebuttal-to-gse-worthless-analysis/comment-page-1/#comment-457</link>
		<dc:creator>PlanMaestro</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Oct 2009 21:54:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://derekpilecki.com/?p=126#comment-457</guid>
		<description>Thanks for the analysis, from a person long prefs short common.

http://variantperceptions.wordpress.com/2009/09/07/market-madness-freddie-mac-edition/</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thanks for the analysis, from a person long prefs short common.</p>
<p><a href="http://variantperceptions.wordpress.com/2009/09/07/market-madness-freddie-mac-edition/" rel="nofollow">http://variantperceptions.wordpress.com/2009/09/07/market-madness-freddie-mac-edition/</a></p>
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